The Secretariat of Economic Policy discloses the update of the "short-term Podium", the ranking of the monthly forecasts of the participating institutions of the Audit Prisma. Click  here to check the updated version.

Calendar

The secretariat has made ​​available on its website, the  disclosures calendar  Fiscal Prisma and short-term Podium 2016.

* Schedule subject to change. Updates on release dates will be informed on the  website  of the SPE.

Understand

Published since July 2016, the short-term Podium is a ranking of the three Institutions with forecasts for each fiscal variable in the last six months, the percentage of error of each.

The planning is based on equations that specify penalties for each institution, considering the deviation of its projections for the occurrence value and regularity of participation. That is, the more regular and more accurate the institution, the less penalty and, consequently, the better your position in the ranking.

Moreover, it is reported the average percentage error of the other institutions. The percentage indicates how much the forecast of the institution deviated from the amount realized on average during this period, taking into account the magnitude of the variable. For example, if the error percentage is 10% for an institution that participated in every month, the average size of the error was a tenth of the amount realized.

More information is in the Methodological Note Fiscal Prism, available in  www.spe.fazenda.gov.br